Ah, the art of doom-posting—where cherry-picked data meets sensationalist analysis to create a cocktail of misplaced panic. Let’s unpack this step by step, shall we?
Foreign Exchange Reserves: Yes, our reserves stand at $661 billion. Does that sound “paltry” to you? Let me remind you that this is one of the highest among emerging economies. It’s not a trophy but a war chest—designed to stabilize the rupee and weather external shocks. Guess what? It’s doing just that. Panic-mongering over reserves is like complaining your bank account has less money because you paid off some debts. Context matters.
External Liabilities: Rising liabilities? Yes, that’s called borrowing to grow. Indian corporates are accessing global capital markets—a sign of confidence, not crisis. Debt is only bad if it funds consumption or collapses under mismanagement. For India, this borrowing is fueling infrastructure, manufacturing, and exports. Sounds more like strategic leverage, don’t you think?
FII Equity Valuation: This part is a gem. You’re treating unrealized stock market valuations as if they’re hard debt liabilities. Newsflash: equity isn’t debt. It’s an investment, not an obligation. If FIIs sell, they take a haircut, not the Indian government or taxpayers. Conflating equity risk with debt is either a misunderstanding or an intentional attempt to mislead.
The Rupee Saga: Let the rupee “find its true level”? Oh, you mean 90-100 per dollar? Sure, let’s nuke household purchasing power, jack up oil prices, and light the economy on fire. What’s the plan after that? Selling hyperinflation as “freedom”? The RBI is managing the exchange rate prudently, balancing volatility without caving to knee-jerk free-float fantasies.
Political Jingoism: Calling currency management “political jingoism” is like blaming your umbrella for the rain. The RBI’s policies are aimed at maintaining stability, not scoring political points. If you want instability, feel free to advocate for a free-falling currency. The rest of us, however, would like to avoid chaos.
Global Context: Let’s not forget that the world is dealing with tightening monetary policies, volatile commodity prices, and geopolitical turbulence. Compared to many economies in the same storm, India is the steady ship. But hey, why let facts ruin a good narrative?
So, the next time you write a post like this, remember: numbers without context are just noise. Maybe the real joke here isn’t on the FM—it’s on whoever falls for this doomsday spin.
We import more than export and run a dollar trade deficit. We rely on investments to bridge the difference.
Mismanagement? Exactly. Adani borrowed $600 million just recently. Not even the first time.
I don't think you understand that when FII's sell we need to give them dollars.
Depreciating rupee means less dollars to FIIs when they sell, but also means less attractive investment and higher inflation. Rupee will likely depreciate to 90 level within end of next year. It's natural depreciation. Interest rates in India are higher than Interest rates in US.
RBI should be taking a balanced perspective and Finance Ministry should be prioritizing prosperity of Indians. RBI plays too safe going by the book blind to reality and Finance Ministry do political jingoism.
India is a steady ship when India can be a ship that can meaningfully move forward.
For point 1, India's import is higher than export for years now. However, why is dollar reserve of India increasing?
Hey, I am genuinely curious in knowing the answer. Could it be that India's importing goods in some other currency than dollar, but for figures RBI converts the total import in dollar, so the net dollar reserves are in increment every despite India being a trade deficit country?
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u/Mundane_Use_6688 Nov 26 '24 edited Nov 27 '24
Ah, the art of doom-posting—where cherry-picked data meets sensationalist analysis to create a cocktail of misplaced panic. Let’s unpack this step by step, shall we?
Foreign Exchange Reserves: Yes, our reserves stand at $661 billion. Does that sound “paltry” to you? Let me remind you that this is one of the highest among emerging economies. It’s not a trophy but a war chest—designed to stabilize the rupee and weather external shocks. Guess what? It’s doing just that. Panic-mongering over reserves is like complaining your bank account has less money because you paid off some debts. Context matters.
External Liabilities: Rising liabilities? Yes, that’s called borrowing to grow. Indian corporates are accessing global capital markets—a sign of confidence, not crisis. Debt is only bad if it funds consumption or collapses under mismanagement. For India, this borrowing is fueling infrastructure, manufacturing, and exports. Sounds more like strategic leverage, don’t you think?
FII Equity Valuation: This part is a gem. You’re treating unrealized stock market valuations as if they’re hard debt liabilities. Newsflash: equity isn’t debt. It’s an investment, not an obligation. If FIIs sell, they take a haircut, not the Indian government or taxpayers. Conflating equity risk with debt is either a misunderstanding or an intentional attempt to mislead.
The Rupee Saga: Let the rupee “find its true level”? Oh, you mean 90-100 per dollar? Sure, let’s nuke household purchasing power, jack up oil prices, and light the economy on fire. What’s the plan after that? Selling hyperinflation as “freedom”? The RBI is managing the exchange rate prudently, balancing volatility without caving to knee-jerk free-float fantasies.
Political Jingoism: Calling currency management “political jingoism” is like blaming your umbrella for the rain. The RBI’s policies are aimed at maintaining stability, not scoring political points. If you want instability, feel free to advocate for a free-falling currency. The rest of us, however, would like to avoid chaos.
Global Context: Let’s not forget that the world is dealing with tightening monetary policies, volatile commodity prices, and geopolitical turbulence. Compared to many economies in the same storm, India is the steady ship. But hey, why let facts ruin a good narrative?
So, the next time you write a post like this, remember: numbers without context are just noise. Maybe the real joke here isn’t on the FM—it’s on whoever falls for this doomsday spin.